{"id":668,"date":"2007-01-25T12:50:24","date_gmt":"2007-01-25T20:50:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/archives\/2007\/01\/25\/668\/"},"modified":"2007-01-25T12:51:38","modified_gmt":"2007-01-25T20:51:38","slug":"668","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/2007\/01\/25\/668\/","title":{"rendered":"EMI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday I was at Sony.\u00c2\u00a0 There was no hustle and bustle.<\/p>\n<p>Oh, the west coast headquarters always had a laid back feel.\u00c2\u00a0 But now there&#8217;s the vibe of a ghost town.\u00c2\u00a0 I heard no music playing, I saw nobody hanging out, those that were there were in their offices, working hard, thrilled to have a job.<\/p>\n<p>Reception is now in the basement.\u00c2\u00a0 The desks that used to be manned in the buildings&#8230;\u00c2\u00a0 There&#8217;s no one there.\u00c2\u00a0 And now there are two labels involved, not just one.\u00c2\u00a0 Yes, Sony and BMG.<\/p>\n<p>Now I can understand cutting staff in a shrinking industry.\u00c2\u00a0 But is music truly shrinking?\u00c2\u00a0 Are people listening less?<\/p>\n<p>Ironically, just the opposite is true, people are listening more.\u00c2\u00a0 CD sales may be dropping, but tens of millions of people have iPods, which can hold a multiple of people&#8217;s old collections.\u00c2\u00a0 And even those without MP3 players have music on their hard drives.\u00c2\u00a0 P2P trading is staggering, far outstripping legal acquisition.\u00c2\u00a0 It appears we&#8217;re in a golden era of music.\u00c2\u00a0 It&#8217;s just that the major labels haven&#8217;t figured out how to make it work for them.\u00c2\u00a0 Look no further than the consolidation of Capitol and Virgin into one company today.<\/p>\n<p>No one is more dedicated and tenacious than Jason Flom.\u00c2\u00a0 Always working his relationships, he&#8217;s always got his eye on the goal, and is trying to figure out a way to slide the puck across the ice, through the defenders, into the net.\u00c2\u00a0 But Jason is only one man.\u00c2\u00a0 He can only work so many records.<\/p>\n<p>The reason we had the label explosion two decades back was because of radio.\u00c2\u00a0 It was believed that you needed multiple imprints to work stations, that outlets would not be receptive to one promo man working so many records.\u00c2\u00a0 And with radio burgeoning, there was an opportunity.\u00c2\u00a0 For exposure, to make money.<\/p>\n<p>But the radio equation has diminished.\u00c2\u00a0 Greatly.\u00c2\u00a0 Jason Flom can work radio and TV and even Starbucks as well as anybody.\u00c2\u00a0 But are those the only games in town?<\/p>\n<p>Not by a long shot.\u00c2\u00a0 It&#8217;s just that the other games are so new, such niches, so baffling, that the majors just can&#8217;t figure out how to play profitably.\u00c2\u00a0 And rather than build toward an inevitable future, they&#8217;re retrenching.\u00c2\u00a0 This will be their downfall.<\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re not in control of new music production\/sale, you lose your essence.\u00c2\u00a0 Society demands new music, media outlets demand new music.\u00c2\u00a0 Those with heat end up with the relationships.\u00c2\u00a0 But by ceding so much of the media landscape, by retreating so far, by tightening the purse strings to such an extent, the majors are leaving wide swaths of the business, both present and future, to others.<\/p>\n<p>You can&#8217;t make any real money selling online.\u00c2\u00a0 Because the primary mode of acquisition isn&#8217;t monetized.<\/p>\n<p>So the newbies don&#8217;t focus on recorded music sales.\u00c2\u00a0 They give the music away for free.\u00c2\u00a0 Sell CDs as souvenirs at shows.\u00c2\u00a0 It&#8217;s about the show.\u00c2\u00a0 It&#8217;s about act culture.\u00c2\u00a0 Getting people to believe in performers and charging them any way possible.\u00c2\u00a0 The majors can&#8217;t compete.\u00c2\u00a0 The old wave managers and lawyers won&#8217;t cough up those rights.\u00c2\u00a0 But, if you&#8217;re a nobody, if you&#8217;re all in it together, your buddy is the manager and label and&#8230;\u00c2\u00a0 Your motivation is different.\u00c2\u00a0 It&#8217;s about the music, it&#8217;s about having fun.\u00c2\u00a0 The major labels are star machines.\u00c2\u00a0 A star is someone on MTV and then in the tabloids you make fun of.\u00c2\u00a0 Who wants to be a star?<\/p>\n<p>Obviously somebody.\u00c2\u00a0 But, that&#8217;s an ever-shrinking share of the business.\u00c2\u00a0 An impossible game where the acts that do make it lose all credibility and have brief careers.\u00c2\u00a0 In other words, with music instrument sales through the roof&#8211;<\/p>\n<blockquote dir=\"ltr\" style=\"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px\">\n<p><a title=\"Toys for making noise\" href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/entertainment\/news\/business\/la-et-namm24jan24,1,6019284.story\" target=\"_blank\">Toys for making noise<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>people are making a ton of music that the majors aren&#8217;t interested in distributing, for they don&#8217;t know how to sell it, but what they leave on the table that&#8217;s good, albeit a very low percentage of what&#8217;s created, is finding its own path to the marketplace.\u00c2\u00a0 Where the selling is done by word of mouth, that costs nothing, and is based on quality and relationships.\u00c2\u00a0 Elements the majors have burned from their business plan.\u00c2\u00a0 Hell, the audience doesn&#8217;t trust the labels.\u00c2\u00a0 Can you imagine not trusting Warner Brothers and Atlantic in the seventies?\u00c2\u00a0 You&#8217;d die to work there.\u00c2\u00a0 There aren&#8217;t even any jobs for young &#8216;uns at these labels anymore, and these kids, who still love music, are finding their own way.<\/p>\n<p>EMI is proving by this consolidation that they need to be allowed to merge with Warner.\u00c2\u00a0 They&#8217;re illustrating what sad shape they&#8217;re in.\u00c2\u00a0 It appears to be a death spiral.\u00c2\u00a0 An operation that&#8217;s outlived its time.<\/p>\n<p>But it could be reinvented.\u00c2\u00a0 By changing the economics.\u00c2\u00a0 Hiring more people, at very low salaries, to sell more records.\u00c2\u00a0 Kind of like Compaq competing with Dell.\u00c2\u00a0 Instead of selling overly-tested boxes at premium prices, make commodities and sell them to everybody.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, everybody hasn&#8217;t owned music, certainly not much.\u00c2\u00a0 In the present, certainly the future, everybody will own a ton of music.\u00c2\u00a0 And it won&#8217;t all be hits.\u00c2\u00a0 The key is to realize this, and change your business model to fit the paradigm.<\/p>\n<p>Majors have infrastructure.\u00c2\u00a0 Distribution, accounting&#8230;\u00c2\u00a0 Systems that cannot be replicated for a cheap price by indies.\u00c2\u00a0 They should sell these services.\u00c2\u00a0 Let the indies play in their domain.\u00c2\u00a0 For a cheap price.\u00c2\u00a0 Because it&#8217;s all about pennies now.\u00c2\u00a0 And try to rip me off, and I&#8217;ll find my own way.\u00c2\u00a0 It might be difficult, but the tools are available, I can do it.<\/p>\n<p>EMI is praying that it can pull a rabbit from the hat.<\/p>\n<p>But everyone knows that the Norah Jones album is gonna stiff.\u00c2\u00a0 She was too big too fast with too little a personality and identity to sustain her success.\u00c2\u00a0 The tour numbers tell us everything.\u00c2\u00a0 There aren&#8217;t enough believers.\u00c2\u00a0 Whereas bands with comparatively shitty CD sales can sell tickets every night.\u00c2\u00a0 And many work almost every night.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s the music business.\u00c2\u00a0 Until you realize this, you&#8217;re screwed.\u00c2\u00a0 You&#8217;ve got to establish a relationship with the fan.\u00c2\u00a0 You&#8217;ve got to sell credible music.\u00c2\u00a0 You&#8217;ve got to be in it for the long haul.\u00c2\u00a0 These are basic tenets.\u00c2\u00a0 Ignore them and you go out of business, or become marginalized.<\/p>\n<p>EMI has great catalog assets.\u00c2\u00a0 Those will be worth a fortune in the future.\u00c2\u00a0 But probably only after somebody else develops a reasonable distribution system online for those assets.\u00c2\u00a0 That&#8217;s the conundrum, that&#8217;s the movie, how those with all the power have squandered it, year after year, leaving the landscape to innovators.\u00c2\u00a0 Hell, nobody at the labels was developing Napster.\u00c2\u00a0 It&#8217;s not like no one at a major had Web access.\u00c2\u00a0 But the concept of forward thinking, that&#8217;s anathema.<\/p>\n<p>This is a consolidation that was worked out on paper, to make the numbers work.\u00c2\u00a0 If you think music is about numbers&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday I was at Sony.\u00c2\u00a0 There was no hustle and bustle. Oh, the west coast headquarters always had a laid back feel.\u00c2\u00a0 But now there&#8217;s the vibe of a ghost town.\u00c2\u00a0 I heard no music playing, I saw nobody hanging out, those that were there were in their offices, working hard, thrilled to have a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-668","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-music-business"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/s96vPs-668","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=668"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=668"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=668"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=668"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}