{"id":1288,"date":"2008-07-14T11:57:54","date_gmt":"2008-07-14T19:57:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/archives\/2008\/07\/14\/rock-bandguitar-hero\/"},"modified":"2008-07-14T12:00:16","modified_gmt":"2008-07-14T20:00:16","slug":"rock-bandguitar-hero","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/2008\/07\/14\/rock-bandguitar-hero\/","title":{"rendered":"Rock Band\/Guitar Hero"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The new rap or the new hula-hoop?<\/p>\n<p>The flurry of &quot;Rock Band&quot;\/&quot;Guitar Hero&quot; announcements has my head spinning.  What with Aerosmith releasing their own game for the latter platform and Guns N&#8217; Roses releasing their new single on the former, one would think the videogames are the new radio\/MTV\/retail store combined!  Actually, that&#8217;s what Activision, maker of &quot;Guitar Hero&quot;, wants, to become the new sales platform, to put a dent in iTunes.<\/p>\n<p>But, I want to let you in on a dirty little secret.  They&#8217;re GAMES!  Not playing music, barely a facsimile, RB\/GH are about hitting controllers to rack up points. Genius conception, but what&#8217;s the lifespan?<\/p>\n<p>Iterations of Mario have lasted forever.  But Pac Man\/Ms. Pac Man finally bit the dust.  Four years from now, will kids be standing in front of their flat screens flicking the levers on plastic guitars or&#8230;will they be playing something different?<\/p>\n<p>One thing you know about the music industry&#8230;  It can&#8217;t get enough of a good thing.  If it finds something successful, it runs it into the ground.<\/p>\n<p>GH Aerosmith is the first in.  After that, is it just too late?<\/p>\n<p>Instinct would say we&#8217;re zeroing in on the final hurrah, Christmas &#8217;08.  After that, there should be a decline, that falls off steeply in the second half of next year, if not just a few months after Christmas.  Sure, those who just got the memo will play, but there are always individuals behind the curve, you don&#8217;t want to predicate your business model on them.<\/p>\n<p>Or are RB\/GH the new rap?  Seen as a fad.  Seen as over once &quot;Yo! MTV Raps&quot; was cancelled, hip-hop not only didn&#8217;t die when it should have according to the rockers, back in 1990, but has only decined in sales in the last two years.  That&#8217;s a pretty good run, two decades.<\/p>\n<p>So, are RB and GH a whole new paradigm, a window to a whole new business?<\/p>\n<p>Hogwash.<\/p>\n<p>People don&#8217;t really want to learn how to play instruments, it&#8217;s too damn hard.  So GH&#8217;s focus on this in the future is ridiculous.<\/p>\n<p>Some games last forever, like Hearts and Bridge.  Even Monopoly.  But they&#8217;re cheap compared to RB and GH.  If a new edition featuring a different band was ten or twenty bucks, that&#8217;d be one thing.  But, the music industry, along with the gaming industry, wants to rape the customer!<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t look for answers in the business press.  They only focus on money.  Look at the gamers.  For many, &quot;Rock Band&quot; was last Christmas, they&#8217;re now playing something different.  Will they give it another go this holiday?  Maybe.  But, I don&#8217;t see extreme longevity.<\/p>\n<p>But the music business is just waking up.  The word &quot;fad&quot; has entered no reports.  But I&#8217;m thinking there&#8217;s got to be a lifespan.<\/p>\n<p>But Reverend Run has a TV show and Jay-Z is still on tour, so who knows!<\/p>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The new rap or the new hula-hoop? The flurry of &quot;Rock Band&quot;\/&quot;Guitar Hero&quot; announcements has my head spinning. What with Aerosmith releasing their own game for the latter platform and Guns N&#8217; Roses releasing their new single on the former, one would think the videogames are the new radio\/MTV\/retail store combined! Actually, that&#8217;s what Activision, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-music-business","category-technology"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p96vPs-kM","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1288","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1288"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1288\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1288"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1288"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lefsetz.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1288"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}